Polymarket Smart Wallet risk-manager

Open Positions 42

Market	Side	Shares	Avg	Price	PNL	%	Value
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,255,734	0.1¢	0.1¢	-$2.1K	-50.00%	$2.1K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,498,275	0.1¢	0.1¢	-$860	-53.45%	$749
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,354,046	0.9¢	1.0¢	+$1.1K	+9.41%	$12.9K
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	645,513	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$955	+73.27%	$2.3K
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	609,311	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$773	+56.88%	$2.1K
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	587,565	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$881	+75.00%	$2.1K
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	560,906	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$836	+74.13%	$2.0K
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	450,000	0.6¢	0.7¢	+$225	+8.35%	$2.9K
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	436,574	0.8¢	0.9¢	+$224	+6.42%	$3.7K
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	237,769	0.2¢	0.3¢	+$119	+25.00%	$594
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	150,075	9.1¢	7.5¢	-$2.5K	-18.22%	$11.2K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	Yes	146,722	1.9¢	0.1¢	-$2.7K	-97.35%	$73
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	114,499	31.6¢	27.1¢	-$5.2K	-14.38%	$31.0K
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	96,219	0.6¢	0.7¢	+$48	+8.35%	$625
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	61,998	0.1¢	0.2¢	+$31	+50.00%	$93
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	40,934	7.0¢	7.7¢	+$266	+9.29%	$3.1K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	34,969	80.7¢	82.4¢	+$574	+2.03%	$28.8K
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	31,029	0.2¢	0.3¢	+$16	+25.00%	$78
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	30,204	0.2¢	0.3¢	+$15	+25.00%	$76
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	28,000	92.5¢	95.4¢	+$786	+3.03%	$26.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	27,000	91.5¢	92.5¢	+$270	+1.09%	$25.0K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	21,973	8.2¢	9.1¢	+$185	+10.28%	$2.0K
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	16,774	0.2¢	0.3¢	+$8	+25.06%	$42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	15,000	90.6¢	93.5¢	+$435	+3.20%	$14.0K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	13,500	2.5¢	0.1¢	-$327	-97.98%	$7
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	11,771	92.0¢	94.0¢	+$230	+2.12%	$11.1K
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	10,000	82.3¢	83.5¢	+$117	+1.42%	$8.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	9,266	0.2¢	0.3¢	+$5	+25.00%	$23
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	9,000	93.0¢	94.5¢	+$135	+1.61%	$8.5K
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6,800	0.5¢	0.7¢	+$10	+27.83%	$44
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	6,417	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$10	+75.00%	$22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	5,109	50.4¢	50.5¢	+$4	+0.14%	$2.6K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	5,000	41.0¢	25.5¢	-$775	-37.80%	$1.3K
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	4,905	0.2¢	0.4¢	+$7	+75.00%	$17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	4,500	92.0¢	99.8¢	+$349	+8.42%	$4.5K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	4,500	20.0¢	17.5¢	-$112	-12.50%	$788
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	4,425	48.0¢	48.5¢	+$22	+1.04%	$2.1K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	4,001	5.0¢	6.5¢	+$60	+30.00%	$260
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	3,442	8.3¢	7.5¢	-$28	-9.71%	$258
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	3,300	96.5¢	99.6¢	+$103	+3.23%	$3.3K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	3,000	54.5¢	66.5¢	+$360	+22.02%	$2.0K
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	3,000	92.0¢	98.7¢	+$200	+7.23%	$3.0K

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